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Gavrilova v Bacsinszky - Australian Open ( Women's)

Tennis - Australian Open ( Women's)

2017-01-21 09:00:00 (This report was created at 2017-01-20 14:45:33)

Gavrilova v Bacsinszky

"Daria to dash Swiss hopes"

Daria Gavrilova is Australian but born in Russia. She is aged 22 and ranked 26th the world. She has been as high as 24 and was 33 and 24 last year. She had a good 2016 especially the second half of the year. In Australian in January she won 3 rounds, beating Kvitova in the first round. In Madrid in May she also won 3 matches again beating Kvitova. She had a good run in Biejing and Hong Kong, this time beating Kerber. In the Kremlin Cup she made the final where she came up against an inform Kuznetsova. Now Australian, she responds well to the home fans who have happily adopted her.

Timea Bacsinszky is a Swiss player, aged 27 and ranked 15th in the world. She has been as high as 9th and last year was 32 and 23 overall but plays much better on clay. On hard courts in 2016 she was only 12 and 12. The year started well for her when she won 4 matches in Miami, beating Radwanska and Halep along the way. In March she won a minor clay court tournament in Morocco and had a good run in the French. However since the Olympics, in August she has won very few matches.

Court surface:  Melbourne Park, Victoria hard courts.

Head to head:  Gavrilova leads 2-0 having won in Beijing last year and Rome in 2015.

Summary:  Good value for Gavrilova at 1.77.

1.77 Gavrilova v Bacsinszky 2.23

Liverpool v Swansea

FBENG Premier League > Regular Season-16

2017-01-21 13:30:00 (This report was created at 2017-01-20 13:26:16)

What made P. Clement accept the Swansea job? Why did they sack G. Monk in the first place?

Free-falling Swansea were quite hopeless against Arsenal. They lost the match 0-4 and, the way I see it, Arsenal did not play a particularly strong match. Sloppy passing was the rule of the day for the Gunners, at least in the first half and, while they improved in the second half, Swansea became poorer by the minute. Swansea have bought the Swedish left back M. Olsson. I guess he is supposed to serve Llorente from the flank. T Carroll has joined from Tottenham.

Swansea risk being murdered at Anfield, although the Liverpool offence has been awfully quiet lately.

Coutinho, Origi, Sturridge and L Leiva from the start were enough for Liverpool to defeat Plymouth in the cup, 1-0. Origi missed a penalty.

I am waiting for kind of a goal explosion from Liverpool in this match.

Home winner.


Bournemouth v Watford

FBENG Premier League > Regular Season-16

2017-01-21 16:00:00 (This report was created at 2017-01-20 13:28:38)

In the lead after only a couple of minutes, Bournemouth went on to lose 1-3 to Hull. I was not impressed and the fact is, Bournemouth have conceded three goals in their last three games including their 0-3 cup loss against Millwall. Bournemouth's defensive line belongs to the worst in the Premiership and only the bottom four have conceded more goals.  Defender S. Francis will be suspended also this week.

Watford should have won their home game against Middlesbrough, but they just could not set any of their big scoring chances. I recall one glaring miss when Watford hit the Boro woodwork. T. Cleverley has joined from Everton and Watford were also able to welcome back some of their previously injured players. Still missing are players like Amrabat and D. Janmaat.

Watford are 0-2-4 in their last six league games and they are desperate for a win.

Both of these sides need to return to winning ways and I accept Bournemouth as the favourite, but I doubt they are worth backing priced below evens.


Crystal Palace v Everton

FBENG Premier League > Regular Season-16

2017-01-21 16:00:00 (This report was created at 2017-01-20 13:30:22)

Allardyce is still without a league win after four league games and the only really strong team that C. Palace have faced are Arsenal. Delaney and Dann played from the start in their defence against West Ham, but the established Crystal Palace duo could not stop the Hammers from scoring three goals.

C. Palace played in the cup earlier this week at home to Bolton, fielding a weakened side, but 0-1 down in the second half Allardyce introduced C Benteke to the game and he turned the game in favour of C Palace scoring two goals. Benteke needed those goals, C Palace and S Allardyce needed them as well and tomorrow we will find out if C. Palace will be able to build on that win, or not.

Starting with a couple of youngsters, Everton played the perfect game against Man City and they won the match 4-0. T. Davies, Holgate Lookman, there you have the new exciting Everton players. I know what I said last week about Everton. They seem to thrive on inspiration and the way I see it, there is no guarantee at all that they will follow up their fantastic game vs M City tomorrow against C Palace. If they do, however, they will win the match.

L Baines and Stekelenburg should be available tomorrow.

Benteke vs Lukaku. OK, one point each.


Middlesbrough v West Ham

FBENG Premier League > Regular Season-16

2017-01-21 16:00:00 (This report was created at 2017-01-20 15:04:52)

It is easy to understand why Middlesbrough are searching for new strikers. They drew 0-0 again at the weekend and have scored only one goal in their last four league games, which was their goal vs. Manchester United at Old Trafford. In hindsight, it is difficult to understand how they managed to score three goals in the Cup against Sheffield Wednesday.

P. Bamford, a forward, has joined the club, but I guess they are looking for a bigger name player. R. Gestede, new striker, made his debut last week as a second half substitute. D. Ayala is suspended again and it does not look like G Ramirez and Barragan will be available this week either.

Without D. Payet, West Ham defeated Crystal Palace 3-0 and one of their goals was an astonishing over head kick from A. Carroll.

Coach Bilic is pretty confident that his three injury doubts, A. Carroll, S. Byram and W. Reid will be fit to play tomorrow.

It is tough to motivate a bet on the home win, but I will trust Boro not to lose this match.


Stoke v Manchester Utd

FBENG Premier League > Regular Season-16

2017-01-21 16:00:00 (This report was created at 2017-01-20 15:06:53)

Arnautovic was in his unstoppable mood against Sunderland and, when he is playing and scoring like that, Stoke are a winning team.

Stoke are the definition of unpredictability this season, but they have won their last two league games. In between these wins, Stoke lost at home to Wolves in the Cup and that is Stoke for this writer - you never know what to expect! What I do know is, that Peter Crouch deserves to play from the start in the Stoke front line at the moment. I do not think that R. Shawcross looks forward to facing Ibrahimovic. They have history - and it was not to Shawcross’ advantage.

J. Walters is injured and also Bojan is struggling with an injury.

Too bad for United that one of their aces, P. Pogba, played so poorly against Liverpool. Ibrahimovic delievered as usual, but he can not do it all on his own, can he?

I am not comfortable backing this 1.62 on the away win.


West Bromwich Albion v Sunderland

FBENG Premier League > Regular Season-16

2017-01-21 16:00:00 (This report was created at 2017-01-20 15:09:05)

Tottenham were brilliant again and WBA had no chance at all, losing the match 0-4. As long as WBA are winning the right games, it does not matter much that they keep on losing to the top sides in the Premiership. This home game against Sunderland is precisely the kind of fixture that Pulis’ WBA has decided in their favour from almost day one this season and that is why they remain in the top half of the league table. WBA did, however, lost the home game against Derby in the Cup, but I have never really trusted Pulis teams in cup games.

J. Livermore is on his way to joining WBA from Hull and he could come in contention for this game

Sunderland, 1-1-8 away from home in the league, played against Burnley earlier this week. I am sure that coach Moyes wanted to make wholesale changes but, his squad is so stretched at the moment, that Moyes only was able to change his line up in tree positions. J. Defoe, for example, was placed on the bench. Sunderland lost the match expectedly, 0-2.

V. Anichebe has just returned to training and he has an outside chance of returning to the Sunderland squad. Same goes for fit again S. Pienaar, but J. Rodwell is new on their injury list.

Likely home win, but depressing odds. I mean there are teams out there that you do not want to support as rather big favourite and WBA are one of those teams


Blackburn Rovers v Birmingham

FBENG Championship > Regular Season-16

2017-01-21 16:00:00 (This report was created at 2017-01-20 15:45:13)

Two struggling teams and I will back the home win. Ever-fighting Blackburn never give up but, I can not deny, they are losing too many evenly matched games. Maybe there is no coincidence that Blackburn have lost 2-3 in four of their last seven league games.

I do not think that Blackburn will get relegated, they are too strong and one must not forget. Blackburn have defeated Newcastle both home and away this season.

G. Zola has yet to win a league game - or any game - and I have to say, he should have avoided coaching in the Championship. It is difficult for anyone to coach in this difficult league and I do not know how many foreign coaches who have been sacked.

A quiet week for Blackburn, while Birmingham played a big game in the cup against Newcastle in midweek. Zola had changed 50% of his starting line up and they lost the game 1-3.

E. Nsue, wing back from Middlesbrough, has joined Birmingham.

The Blackburn injury list remains the same, but defender D. Lenihan was back last week from suspension., J. Steele, their goalkeeper, is playing again.

Birmingham will once again miss Maghoma, G. Stewart and C. Donaldson.

Supporting a well rested, well prepared Blackburn side. There is goal guarantee when Blackburn are playing and I can seem them winning this match, say 2-1, or the favourite result, 3-2.


Norwich City v Wolves

FBENG Championship > Regular Season-16

2017-01-21 16:00:00 (This report was created at 2017-01-20 15:47:33)

How much pressure can the Norwich boss A. Neil and his players take? Every week for quite some time now, there is talk about sacking poor Neil and his cause was not helped by the loss against the bottom side, Rotherham, last week.

I figure, a loss in this match and it is over for Neil and maybe that is what the players want, or how do you else explain their many recent poor performances?

For Wolves, it is everything but gloomy at the moment. Their season has turned for the better since P. Lambert accepted the coaching job and they recently deservedly defeated Stoke in the cup, away from home and last week they dismissed Aston Villa.

Home or away does not seem to matter for this hot Wolves side. Look out for their two foreigners, wingers Cavaleiro and Costa.

A. Weimann, the Austrian striker, has joined Wolves.

Norwich have to play this match without their leading goal scorer, N. Oliveira, who will be suspended and their central midfielder J. Howson, who is injured. Both played from the start last week. Another midfielder Mulumbu is in Africa, G. Dorrans is injured and M Olsson has been sold to Swansea,

Defence man S Whittaker is a doubt and so is C. Jerome, but I think he will play. It is their midfield area that is wanting at the moment

Worth mentioning of course is the fact that Norwich, fielding a mixed side, played in the cup against Southampton in midweek (0-1 loss).

Backing Wolves.


Chievo v Fiorentina

FBITA Serie A > Regular Season-16

2017-01-21 18:00:00 (This report was created at 2017-01-20 15:26:41)

Better Chievo at the weekend than last week and they simply lost to a stronger side. Inter won the match 3-1 and, the week before, Chievo went down 1-4 at home to Atalanta. Time for a positive result, I can hear coach Maran saying, but he has to manage without the suspended Radovanovic and Spolli. Hetemaj and Cacciatore are back in contention, Izco as well and Pelissier will play upfront again.

Fiorentina deservedly defeated Juventus 2-1 and they have yet to lose a home game this season (5-5-0). B. Valero was fit to play again, Chiesa is getting better by the minute and Kalinic, their front man, is full of confidence.

Now Kalinic will be suspended for this game with Babacar favourite to replace him. Sanchez was a success in their defence against Juventus and he will continue in this game.

Trusting Fiorentina to repeat their top performance vs. Juventus away from home is complicated and I will rest my case for now.


Manchester City v Tottenham

FBENG Premier League > Regular Season-16

2017-01-21 18:30:00 (This report was created at 2017-01-20 15:12:11)

Manchester City are without a strong goalkeeper, YaYa Toure was playing his slow-motion football, Kun Aguero looked completely lost and their new, expensive defender John Stones is not living up to his price tag at all, so it is no wonder that City were outplayed by an energetic Everton side, 0-4. Yes, their coach has seen happier days, but I would not write off City, not in a single game anyway. However, actually backing City against the strongest side in the Premiership right now, Tottenham, looks a bit far fetched .

Fernandinho is suspended again, but V. Kompany could be ready to make his come-back as he is at least taking part in the training sessions. G. Jesus, the exciting young Brazilian striker, has joined City and could play some part already in this big game.

One big set back for Spurs - and it is the Verthongen injury. He will be missing for a while. Can Tottenham handle Verthongen's absence in the long run? A very motivated question of course, but both K. Walker and T. Aldeireweld are in fantastic form playing in the Tottenham defence at the moment.

Both to score to start with and I prefer the away win.


Bordeaux v Toulouse

FBFRA Ligue 1 > Regular Season-16

2017-01-21 20:00:00 (This report was created at 2017-01-20 15:49:14)

Maybe Bordeaux should have won against Angers last week, but I am prepared to give them a new chance this week.

I liked their line-up, with strong players like J. Plasil and Kamona only good enough to start from the bench. Laborde, in the front line, was flanked by D. Roland and Malcolm.

Toulouse dominated at home to Nantes, but they were terribly ineffective in the final third of the pitch. They could have done with their former sharp shooter Ben Yedder, but he is a Sevilla player these days. I can not say that I am impressed by strikers like O. Toivonen and M. Braithwaite.

Anyway, Nantes never deserved their win against Toulouse last week, but they used their one big chance to perfection and won the match 1-0. Yago is not playing for Bordeaux at the moment due to his international commitment.

Backing Bordeaux.


Caen v Nancy

FBFRA Ligue 1 > Regular Season-16

2017-01-21 20:00:00 (This report was created at 2017-01-20 15:52:08)

What to do with a team like Caen? They just can not perform in their away games and are the worst travellers in the French League,with only one meagre point in their ten away games. In midweek, Caen tried again, this time away to Nantes and they lost of course, this time 0-1.

A week ago Caen played some terrific football at home to Lyon, winning the match 3-2. Croatian striker Santini impressed hugely and so did the captain, J. Feret. According to their coach, only J Feret played a reasonably good game against Nantes.

Nancy are in good form, but they are usually not a very enterprising team in their away games. In fact they have only scored four goals in all ten away fixtures so far.

Central defender Cabaco will be back from suspension for this game, but Nancy are missing two important players who are playing in the African Cup.

Caen only come good when they are playing at home and this 2.39 looks like a good price in this match.

Likely home win.


AC Milan v Napoli

FBITA Serie A > Regular Season-16

2017-01-21 20:45:00 (This report was created at 2017-01-20 15:29:09)

"Buy lottery tickets", is my suggestion to the Milan coach Montella! Down 0-2 and more or less outclassed by Torino, Ljajic missed a penalty for Torino and Milan were able to come back in a strong way, drawing the match 2-2. If Ljajic had scored with his penalty the game could have finished in a total disaster for Milan, but instead they picked up a very morale-boosting point.

Milan have to play this game without suspended central defender Romagnoli and young Locatelli. Calabria and Gomez will play in the defence.

Napoli won at home to Pescara all according to plans and, after their two home games in 2017, this away game will be their first real test. How good are Napoli at the moment? I have to say, I do not know at all. Gabbiadini, Pavoletti and Allan will start this match on the bench.

Milan are 7-2-1 at the San Siro Stadium and they have to be backed as surprisingly high-priced winner here.


Juventus v Lazio

FBITA Serie A > Regular Season-16

2017-01-22 12:30:00 (This report was created at 2017-01-20 15:30:42)

Now we can establish the obvious fact - Juventus can be reasoned with in their away games this season. They have almost lost 50% of their away games with 5-0-4 so far. At home it is completely another story, as Juventus have won all of their home games this season.

Alex Sandro and Sturaro will be suspended for this fixture. Pjanic is a likely starter in this game, supporting the two front men, Higuain and Dybala. Asamoah will replace A. Sandro and Chiellini will be on the bench.

Lazio have to manage without in-form Lulic, who will sit out a suspension. Immobile was behind their 2-1 win against Atalanta at the weekend and he will be backed up by L. Alberto and Milinkovic-Savic.

Very likely home win.


Southampton v Leicester

FBENG Premier League > Regular Season-16

2017-01-22 13:00:00 (This report was created at 2017-01-20 15:14:08)

“We were clearly the better side”, words from the Southampton boss Puel after the 0-1 loss against Burnley. Yes, that is what they keep saying, the managers, having lost to Burnley at Turf Moor. Southampton had most of the ball, much expectedly.

Once again, Southampton have been forced to play a midweek game, this time at home to Norwich in the Cup. A mixed side barely did their job, winning the match thanks to a very late Shane Long goal.

In a few days Southampton will play the second of their two Cup semi finals against Liverpool and what is going on in Puel’s mind? The semi-final is more important than this league game, is it not?

Leicester were second best to Chelsea. They were outplayed and their performance was certainly not much to brag about. R. Mahrez scored twice for Algeria at the weekend and Leicester missed a player of his stature against Chelsea.

Time for an away game and I should think that Leicester will play their defensive game again, hoping for the odd scoring chance.

Thinking the 0-0 draw.


Bologna v Torino

FBITA Serie A > Regular Season-16

2017-01-22 15:00:00 (This report was created at 2017-01-20 15:32:55)

It is about winning the right games and winning away to Crotone was such a win for Bologna. From what I saw from the game, Bologna's win was a fair reflection of the game. They look pretty safe now, thirteen points ahead of the relegation zone. Well, all teams look safe apart from the bottom three who seem to play on a much inferior level than the rest of the Serie A sides.

Torosidis and Gastaldello are new on the already lengthy Bologna injury list. Krafth and Maietta will play from the start and Verdi id ready to make his come back, from the bench.

Torino have to play this game without their excellent front man, Belotti, with M. Lopez most likely replacing him. As Castan is injured, Rossettini and Moretti will be the central defenders in this match.

Something with Torino, they should have assembled more points and have hardly convinced, yet I will give them my support in this match.

Both to score? Yes!


Empoli v Udinese

FBITA Serie A > Regular Season-16

2017-01-22 15:00:00 (This report was created at 2017-01-20 15:34:21)

No team has played out more 0-0 draws than Empoli in Serie A this season. They could have won against Sampdoria at the weekend, with Empoli missing a first half penalty. Sampdoria missed some good scoring chances and the 0-0 draw was probably a fair result.

No Diousse for Empoli, as he will serve a suspension. Buchel will cover for him in midfield and Cosic is injured. Maccarone will probably play from the start in their front line.

“We are only missing the goal”, said the Udinese coach after the 0-1 loss against Roma. Well, they were also a bit “unlucky” when they lost to Inter, 1-2, but scoring goals is often what separates the strong sides from the more normal teams.

Udinese, still missing Badu, Widmer and Wague will go on with the same side that lost to Roma.

Udinese have scored more than twice as many goals as Empoli this season and the way I see it, they are worth my vote in this match.

I prefer the away win.


Genoa v Crotone

FBITA Serie A > Regular Season-16

2017-01-22 15:00:00 (This report was created at 2017-01-20 15:35:56)

After their suprisingly big loss to Cagliari (1-4), I am sure that Genoa are happy facing this hopelessly poor Crotone side.

If Genoa, like they say, played their worst game of the season I would not know, but they also lost their last home game, 0-1 vs. Roma, and Genoa need to pick up a three pointer again. Maybe it is time for their new players, Taarabt and Pinilla, to make themselves heard.

Well, Pinilla and Pandev played from the start in a midweek cup game, away to Lazio and once again Genoa shipped in four goals (2-4 loss). That is eight Genoa goals conceded in their last two competitive games.

Cataldi, their latest signing, will play from the start in their midfield.

Crotone have to manage without their suspended forward Palladino with Stoian replacing him.

Very likely home win.


Palermo v Inter Milan

FBITA Serie A > Regular Season-16

2017-01-22 15:00:00 (This report was created at 2017-01-20 15:37:37)

In the lead for a short while, it went the usual way for Palermo, losing 1-4 away to Sassuolo. The coach is still Corini,  this in itself a surprise, or maybe the Palermo President has finally come to realise that his Palermo are short of quality players.

At home, Palermo are 0-1-8. Yes, the dreadful numbers are correct. Cionek is back in defence for this match and Quaison and Nestrovksy are confirmed in the front line. Aleesami could start.

Inter are on a roll and there is no stopping them at the moment. Brozovic is back from his suspension and G Medel is back to fitness, but he will be placed on the bench.

Very likely away win.


Pescara v Sassuolo

FBITA Serie A > Regular Season-16

2017-01-22 15:00:00 (This report was created at 2017-01-20 15:38:45)

Gilardino is now playing in the Pescara front line, but he failed at Empoli and his scoring days on this level are most likely over.

Pescara are now also troubled by injuries and as many as seven squad players are in grave danger of missing this fixture. Biraghi is back from suspension for this match.

Berardi, Defrel, Ragusa and Politano will all start for Sassuolo and the offensive line looks quite strong again.

With Berardi playing and scoring again and, with a more reasonable injury list and without games in Europe, Sassuolo are growing in strength again and the way I see it, they should win this game.

Likely away win.


Arsenal v Burnley

FBENG Premier League > Regular Season-16

2017-01-22 15:15:00 (This report was created at 2017-01-20 15:15:59)

How can you win 4-0 while not playing particularly well? The first half display from Arsenal at Swansea lacked any kind of quality but, in all fairness, Arsenal improved their game in the second half. A. Sanchez dos not strike me as the happiest Arsenal player at the moment and hopefully his questionable attitude does not indicate future problems such as Sanchez wanting away, or something like that. You can only hope, as an Arsenal supporter, that he is after more money like everybody else in this business!

K. Gibbs, H. Bellerin, Coquelin and O. Giroud have all been cleared to play this weekend.

Burnley, 0-1-8 away from home, played a home game against Sunderland in the Cup earlier this week. Coach Dyche fielded a mixed side and his Burnley won the game quite comfortably 2-0.

Focused, or at least half focused and Arsenal will win this fixture.


St. Etienne v Angers

FBFRA Ligue 1 > Regular Season-16

2017-01-22 17:00:00 (This report was created at 2017-01-20 15:54:48)

Surely, St. Etienne will not fail to win this game at home to Angers. Angers, without their four important African players, managed a 1-1 draw at home to Bordeaux last week, but it will be so much more difficult to get something from this match.

St. Etienne picked up a valuable, probably deserved, point at Lille last week, but in my world I almost exclusively trust St. Etienne to win their home games. Much has been said about the many missing players but, assessing the St. Etienne starting line-up vs. Lille, I would say that they fielded a very strong starting eleven. Hamouma, N. Roux and Monnet- Pacquet played in the front line, but sure enough I would not mind to see Tannanae, R. Beric and Pajot in their squad, maybe M’ Bengue as well, but as I just said, they looked OK and they will be OK for this match.

The St Etienne team is training and preparing for this game in Spain.

Home winner.


Chelsea v Hull City

FBENG Premier League > Regular Season-16

2017-01-22 17:30:00 (This report was created at 2017-01-20 15:19:02)

No one missed Diego Costa against Leicester and no one would miss him, should he not take part in this game. In the long run, however, Costa's absence could cost Chelsea the league title. Costa is back in training and this should men that he will pop up for this game, at least in my book.

Chelsea were pretty strong against Leicester and this writer was somewhat impressed.

Hull were full value for their three points against Bournemouth and it is a fact, a surprising fact. I have obviously missed that they are an improved side under new coach Silva. A. Hernandez, their best goal scorer has picked up his scoring habit again and both their defenders C. Davies and M. Dawson were declared fit to play against Bournemouth and their starting line up was probably their strongest for quite some time.

Chelsea are too strong for a side like Hull.


Atalanta v Sampdoria

FBITA Serie A > Regular Season-16

2017-01-22 18:00:00 (This report was created at 2017-01-20 15:40:14)

There was nothing wrong with the Atalanta performance away to Lazio, they just lost to a strong Lazio side. Petagna impressed the most for Atalanta. Should Gomez not be fit to play, D’Alessandro will join Petagna in the front line and Toloi will return to the defence.

Muriel wasted a couple of excellent scoring chances for Sampdoria and they had to settle for 0-0 draw at home to Empoli. Sampdoria have to work on their offensive game. It just does not work at the moment and Schick was preferred to Quagliarella against Empoli.

Silvestre will be back in the Sampdoria defence but Barreto and Sala will not make it and Alvarez is a serious doubt. It could be that Praet and Bruno Fernandes will play from the start.

Home win, I guess.


AS Roma v Cagliari

FBITA Serie A > Regular Season-16

2017-01-22 20:45:00 (This report was created at 2017-01-20 15:42:07)

Two workman-like away wins for Roma in 2017, vs. Genoa and Udinese. Just the kind of wins you need to stay in the Scudetto race, a race quite open after the Juventus loss.

Dzeko missed a penalty and other big chances for Roma against Udinese and they should absolutely have scored more goals than their one, winning goal.

Nainggolan and K. Strootman impressed the most, but Dzeko had a game to forget.

Both De Rossi and Rudiger will return from suspensions for this match, as will Perrotti.

The veteran striker, Borriello, scored twice for his Cagliari vs Genoa and he does not seem to have the same “ageing” problems as Gilardino.

Bruno Alves will return to the Cagliari defence, but Capuano will sit out a suspension. No Di Gennaro or Padoin.

Very likely home win.